Market Intelligence Hub

Economic Data, Risk Premiums, Holdings and Top Trade Ideas

This page summarizes selected macro-economic and market valuation indicators used to frame the current investment environment, including stock risk premium, S&P 500 valuation and subsequent 12-month equity market returns and several other unique insights, top trade ideas, and selected current fund holdings.

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S&P 500 Forward PE

Valuation relative to earnings.

10-Year Treasury

Higher bond yields increase the hurdle for equity valuation support.

Stock Risk Premium

Equity compensation relative to prevailing Treasury yields.

Nominal GDP

Nominal activity remains a key support for revenues and cash flows.

Forward PE vs Next 12-Month Return

Each point represents a year-end observation. Dashed line shows the historical trend relationship.

Stock Risk Premium vs Next 12-Month Return

Dashed line highlights the historical relationship between stock risk premium and future returns.

10-Year US Treasury Rate vs Avg of German 10-Yr + US GDP

Displays the 10-Year US Treasury Rate and the Avg of German 10-Yr + US GDP.

Railcar Load Trend

2025 vs 2026 combined railcar loads and intermodals. (100,000s).

ATA Trucking Index Trend

2025 vs 2026 ATA Trucking Index comparison.

Unemployment Rate vs S&P 500

Labor Market Signals

2-Month Avg vs. 2P Prior 2-Month Avg.

Unemployment Rate

Awaiting data

Total Employed

Awaiting data

Initial Claims

Awaiting data

Continuing Claims

Awaiting data

Housing-Linked Revenue Trend

Quarterly revenue: Lowe's, Home Depot, D.R. Horton and Lennar.

30-Year Mortgage Rate Trend

Weekly Freddie Mac 30-year fixed mortgage rate.

Additional Economic Data

Additional economic data metrics and global macroeconomic indicators can be found through Trading Economics.

Visit Trading Economics